Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.963789 2.135130 2.317609 2.526925 2.761015 3.015459 3.313905
2025-12-07 1.697723 1.929246 2.190259 2.508201 2.887570 3.328921 3.885907
2025-12-14 1.519374 1.781258 2.088731 2.480056 2.970141 3.570759 4.373749
2025-12-21 1.359199 1.631076 1.960206 2.393423 2.956861 3.676585 4.685063
2025-12-28 1.273071 1.559956 1.916973 2.401565 3.054301 3.921318 5.192299
2026-01-04 1.209632 1.510013 1.893178 2.427956 3.171870 4.196697 5.764930
2026-01-11 1.157271 1.469011 1.875660 2.457882 3.292347 4.482039 6.378962
2026-01-18 1.109858 1.430262 1.856782 2.481915 3.403055 4.759381 7.008736
2026-01-25 1.061352 1.386221 1.826594 2.485778 3.481915 4.992958 7.592939
2026-02-01 0.999758 1.320129 1.760891 2.432236 3.468293 5.079760 7.941177
2026-02-08 0.949611 1.267056 1.710033 2.396161 3.476884 5.199678 8.356041
2026-02-15 0.910441 1.227297 1.675681 2.381841 3.517088 5.372358 8.882159
2026-02-22 0.892900 1.218389 1.686740 2.439252 3.679392 5.768835 9.882580
2026-03-01 0.857287 1.181169 1.653455 2.424599 3.721277 5.961328 10.520663
2026-03-08 0.821505 1.141840 1.614646 2.398095 3.740141 6.113226 11.097273
2026-03-15 0.774587 1.083656 1.543963 2.315146 3.654769 6.065830 11.253062
2026-03-22 0.752593 1.062213 1.529021 2.322957 3.728865 6.322064 12.092967
2026-03-29 0.736063 1.048272 1.524917 2.348249 3.835583 6.650437 13.143878
2026-04-05 0.721286 1.036275 1.523093 2.376924 3.950177 7.005366 14.315672
2026-04-12 0.706174 1.023002 1.518378 2.399948 4.055484 7.351876 15.528495
2026-04-19 0.688011 1.004067 1.503385 2.403650 4.123607 7.627369 16.613031
2026-04-26 0.660101 0.968431 1.459177 2.352351 4.080153 7.659086 17.066515
2026-05-03 0.636996 0.939703 1.425262 2.317780 4.067197 7.755779 17.711734